Comparing Apples and Oranges

In order to further remove the evaluation of Bible codes from the realm of the subjective, we have been working to come up with a rating system for code clusters that will enable us to compare apples with apples and oranges with oranges. And we think we have hit on a way to do it.

This system is based on the length of the ELSs in a cluster. How long a Bible code is makes all the difference in terms of how likely it is that it could just be due to chance.

If the code has six or fewer letters, it is virtually certain that you will find it somewhere in the Bible, or even any Hebrew book. But then, if the code has 15 or more letters, the odds of finding it in any randomly selected, two-page-long section of text in the Hebrew Bible are virtually zero. The following table shows how the odds of finding a given code drop precipitously as the code gets longer.

So all codes are not equal—not by a long shot. The longer a code is, the less likely it is to just be due to chance.

Some code skeptics would have people believe that all purported codes are equal. That is, they are all bogus. They are wrong.

Some of these skeptics think that all they had to do to discredit Bible codes was to come up with a cluster of codes from some book that no one would think of claiming was attributable to a super-human source. So they pulled together seven “codes” about Hanukah that they found in a portion of a Hebrew translation of Tolstoy’s War and Peace. What they didn’t bother to tell us is that all of the codes they found (the longest was seven letters) could be easily attributable to chance.

Since “codes” with less than seven letters are virtually certain to be found in any book, anything shorter than that should be thrown out when assessing whether a code cluster could be random.

Here is our simple, yet reasonably accurate, approach to comparing different code clusters in terms of their improbability. For each code with a skip of more than one letter, we subtract six from the number of letters it has, so that any code with six or fewer letters counts for zero points. We then add up all the points for all of the codes in the cluster. The more lengthy codes in a cluster, the higher the score. The higher the score, the more improbable the cluster.

So, how do the different clusters found to date (examples based on findings up to the end of March of this year) rate by this simple system? The next table provides the results. It also shows the rating of the Hanukah cluster from War and Peace, the five highest rated clusters from Michael Drosnin’s books (the original and Bible Code II), and the Moby Dick assassination codes (clusters rated 11 and above shown).

Clearly, the skeptics’ best example of a code cluster from a book other than the Bible is severely outclassed. The table also shows the dramatic improvement in Bible code research results in the five years since Drosnin’s book was published.

One reason the Ezekiel 37 cluster far outdistances others is that it and the Ezekiel 7 clusters have been the major focus of our research since September 11. It may be that other clusters will catch up once we have had the time to research them further.

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The Bible Code Digest is published by a group of scientists, writers and Hebrew experts dedicated to a search for the truth. Our goal is provide accurate, unbiased reporting of news about cutting edge Bible code research conducted by our own group as well as by other credible researchers. We endeavor to report on the significant findings of Jewish, Christian and secular researchers, regardless of their views regarding the potential validity of some Bible codes. We do not necessarily agree with viewpoints expressed in news items and articles by contributors.

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